Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| UMass 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| UMass 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| UMass 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UMass O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Buffalo O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| UMass O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| O/U 45.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 47% |
| O/U 49.5 | 46% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 42% |
| O/U 47.5 | 42% |
| Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| O/U 43.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -17.5 | 27% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| UMass vs. Buffalo | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| O/U 51.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| O/U 57.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| O/U 63.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| UMass 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Buffalo 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UMass vs. Buffalo. In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Buffalo, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Buffalo"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.
Methodology
This page reviews UMass vs. Buffalo across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade UMass vs. Buffalo on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →