Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 26.5 | 87% |
| O/U 24.5 | 85% |
| O/U 22.5 | 82% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| O/U 28.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| O/U 30.5 | 73% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| Spread -3.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Texas O/U 20.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 62% |
| O/U 34.5 | 61% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| O/U 36.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas vs. Oklahoma: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oklahoma O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Oklahoma Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Oklahoma Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 38.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| O/U 40.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -12.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Oklahoma O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 42.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 36% |
| Spread -14.5 | 35% |
| O/U 46.5 | 35% |
| Spread -15.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| Spread -16.5 | 32% |
| O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| Spread -18.5 | 31% |
| O/U 50.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Oklahoma O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| O/U 52.5 | 29% |
| Spread -17.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| O/U 58.5 | 25% |
| O/U 62.5 | 24% |
| Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| O/U 48.5 | 22% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -24.5 | 17% |
| Spread -23.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 15% |
| Spread -27.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 54.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 6% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 4% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, texas vs. oklahoma stands at 87% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Oklahoma, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $956K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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