Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Kansas O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Kansas O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 53% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 53% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 53% |
| Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 53% |
| Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 53% |
| Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 48% |
| Kansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Kansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| Kansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 47% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 47% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 47% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| O/U 63.5 | 1% |
| O/U 73.5 | 1% |
| O/U 75.5 | 1% |
| Kansas O/U 26.5 | 1% |
| Kansas O/U 29.5 | 1% |
| Kansas O/U 32.5 | 1% |
| Kansas State O/U 35.5 | 1% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Kansas vs. Kansas State | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Kansas O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of kansas vs. kansas state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas and Kansas State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas" if Kansas win the game. This mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $307K.
Methodology
We track Kansas vs. Kansas State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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