Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| Spread -7.5 | 87% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| Spread -11.5 | 83% |
| Spread -13.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| O/U 45.5 | 74% |
| Spread -17.5 | 73% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 72% |
| O/U 47.5 | 70% |
| Spread -19.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Spread -20.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| Spread -21.5 | 62% |
| Spread -22.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -23.5 | 59% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -24.5 | 54% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Illinois O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Illinois O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -25.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Illinois O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Illinois O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Spread -27.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| Spread -28.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 42% |
| O/U 57.5 | 41% |
| Spread -29.5 | 40% |
| Spread -30.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Illinois O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| Spread -31.5 | 36% |
| Spread -32.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -33.5 | 32% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Ohio State O/U 45.5 | 31% |
| Spread -34.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Illinois O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -36.5 | 25% |
| O/U 63.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| Spread -35.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Spread -38.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| O/U 67.5 | 18% |
| Spread -41.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Spread -42.5 | 12% |
| Spread -44.5 | 12% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| 1H Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -45.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 9% |
| Spread -48.5 | 6% |
| Illinois vs. Ohio State | 4% |
Market context
The Illinois vs. Ohio State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and Ohio State, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. This market will resol…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $142K.
Methodology
We track Illinois vs. Ohio State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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