Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, fresno state vs. san diego state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $247K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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