Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 99% |
| O/U 35.5 | 98% |
| O/U 43.5 | 96% |
| O/U 47.5 | 96% |
| O/U 53.5 | 94% |
| O/U 55.5 | 92% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 20.5 | 90% |
| O/U 57.5 | 89% |
| Spread -0.5 | 88% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 87% |
| Army O/U 29.5 | 86% |
| Army O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| Spread -1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 49.5 | 82% |
| O/U 51.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| O/U 45.5 | 81% |
| O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| O/U 61.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 76% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 23.5 | 76% |
| O/U 63.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 65.5 | 72% |
| O/U 67.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| Spread -7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 69.5 | 58% |
| O/U 71.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Army 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Army 1H O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Army 1H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 53% |
| O/U 73.5 | 52% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -10.5 | 42% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| O/U 75.5 | 35% |
| Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| Spread -17.5 | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -20.5 | 24% |
| Spread -1.5 | 17% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, florida atlantic vs. army stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Army, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Florida Atlantic …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $539K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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