Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| Spread -2.5 | 96% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 94% |
| Spread -4.5 | 94% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 94% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 94% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -6.5 | 92% |
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -9.5 | 88% |
| Spread -10.5 | 86% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 86% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 86% |
| Spread -11.5 | 85% |
| Spread -13.5 | 83% |
| O/U 43.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| Spread -14.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| Spread -16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 41.5 | 75% |
| Spread -17.5 | 73% |
| O/U 47.5 | 73% |
| Spread -15.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 71% |
| Spread -12.5 | 70% |
| Spread -20.5 | 68% |
| O/U 49.5 | 66% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Spread -19.5 | 64% |
| Spread -22.5 | 64% |
| Spread -21.5 | 63% |
| Spread -18.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 60% |
| O/U 51.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| Spread -24.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Spread -28.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Spread -30.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Spread -31.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Arizona State O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Spread -34.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| O/U 69.5 | 23% |
| O/U 71.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 73.5 | 20% |
| O/U 75.5 | 20% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| O/U 67.5 | 18% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech | 4% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 99% chance of arizona state vs. texas tech. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $162K.
Methodology
This page reviews Arizona State vs. Texas Tech across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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