Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| Arizona State O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 11.5 | 90% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| Arizona State vs. Kansas | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Yasin Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Reed Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Omarion Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cutter Boley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dylan Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nik McMillan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marquis Gillis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Grayson Rigdon: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cardae Mack: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam Pickett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Dupree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Raiden Vines-Bright: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nahzae Cox: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Bruhn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Ia: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tate Nagy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keaton Kubecka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Khamari Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| O/U 54.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| O/U 44.5 | 26% |
| O/U 48.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Arizona State vs. Kansas — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Kansas, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This market…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $351K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Arizona State vs. Kansas on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →