Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of san marino: juan pablo varillas vs timofey skatov. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Timofey Skatov in the San Marino, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page reviews San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →