Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Match O/U 36.5 | 87% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Match O/U 38.5 | 87% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Match O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 Winner | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm | 25% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 3% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 3 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: marco trungelliti vs martin damm. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Martin Damm in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm on Polymarket Review UK
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