Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: emilio nava vs ignacio buse. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Emilio Nava and Ignacio Buse in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →