Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of newport: andre ilagan vs rio noguchi. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Ilagan and Rio Noguchi in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchi on Polymarket Review UK
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