Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Al Ittihad are due to play Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Professional League, and the market is currently priced at 0% YES even though the fixture is listed as an upcoming game for 21 May 2026. For a programmatic read, that sort of zero-implied price usually behaves like a data-quality or timing flag rather than a true no-hoper, so a trader would first verify whether the event has already kicked off, been settled elsewhere, or is simply mis-specified in the feed. In comparable head-to-head data, Al Ittihad have had the stronger record over time, while recent meetings have been closer: Al Qadsiah beat them 2-1 in league play in May 2025, and Al Ittihad won 3-1 later that month in another meeting.

The practical catalysts are the sort that automated monitoring can catch early: confirmed line-ups, injury or rotation news, and any schedule change affecting whether the match is still live before the settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC. Recent match coverage on ESPN shows the 3-1 Al Ittihad win on 30 May 2025, while FotMob noted the 2-1 Al Qadsiah result from the prior league meeting; together those results suggest the fixture has not been one-sided enough to treat a zero price as routine on sporting grounds alone. If you are watching it through bots or conditional orders, the key checks are venue confirmation, kick-off status, and whether the market feed has updated from pre-match to in-play.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.