United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States men's national team faces Paraguay in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 12 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The match forms part of the CONCACAF qualification stage, where the US typically advances to the tournament proper. Current crowd pricing sits at 23% for additional markets being offered on this fixture—a signal that traders expect limited secondary-market depth or that bookmakers will restrict further betting options once primary markets settle.

Historical qualification records show the US has won 8 of its last 11 competitive matches against Paraguay, with the most recent encounter in 2016 ending 1–1. Paraguay qualified for the 2022 World Cup but finished bottom of their group; they rank 53rd in FIFA standings versus the US at 16th. These metrics suggest asymmetric information: casual traders may anchor to recent friendlies or tournament performance, whilst systematic traders would weight qualification-stage form and home-field advantage (the US plays at home). A conditional order structure—triggering additional market creation only if the primary match settles by a certain margin—would help traders hedge exposure to market fragmentation.

Traders should monitor CONCACAF fixture scheduling announcements and any late squad changes from either federation. The settlement window closes just after midnight on 13 June, allowing minimal time for post-match dispute. Programmatic traders evaluating this market should consider whether their infrastructure can handle rapid settlement verification and whether the 23% probability reflects genuine illiquidity or informed expectation of restricted secondary offerings.

Methodology

This page reviews United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.