Croatia vs. Ghana - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Croatia and Ghana, set for 17:00 local time at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, resolves whether the final score after 90 minutes matches a specific listed outcome. With the market currently implying a 12% probability for the "YES" condition, traders must evaluate whether this exact score is statistically plausible given the teams' contrasting trajectories. Croatia, despite inconsistent recent form with three defeats in their last five matches[3], have never lost to a side ranked 40th or lower in World Cup history and remain overwhelming favourites with a 56.3% win probability in pre-match simulations[1].

Historically, Ghana’s defensive resilience is the primary catalyst to monitor; they are one of only four teams at the 2026 tournament to have conceded zero goals so far[2]. This clean-sheet record suggests a low-scoring affair, which directly impacts the probability of specific exact scores like 1-0 or 2-1. Programmatically, a power-user would model this by conditioning buy orders on Ghana’s line-up announcements and training reports, such as the recent session featuring Semenyo[5], while cross-referencing Croatia’s attacking output against Modrić’s influence in their pre-match training footage[7]. The 12% price likely reflects the tension between Croatia’s offensive dominance and Ghana’s defensive anomaly.

Traders should watch for final squad confirmations and any late weather updates for the Philadelphia venue, as these dependencies could shift the goal expectation significantly. The Opta supercomputer’s heavy weighting on Croatia’s group-stage success implies a high likelihood of a Croatia win, yet Ghana’s goalless run introduces volatility that makes exact scores difficult to pin down[1]. For conditional order strategies, the key is to wait for the 17:00 BST kick-off confirmation and immediate line-up data before executing, ensuring the trade aligns with the real-time defensive integrity of the Black Stars.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Croatia vs. Ghana - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.