Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are scheduled to meet in person only if a qualifying encounter occurs between September 30, 2025, and June 30, 2026, with the market currently implying zero probability of such a meeting. This assessment stems from the fact that their last substantive summit took place on 15 August 2025 at a military base in Anchorage, Alaska, which concluded without any agreements reached or progress made on ending the war in Ukraine[7]. Since that Anchorage summit, Russia has publicly accused the United States of failing to honour the "understandings" purportedly established during that meeting, indicating a significant breakdown in diplomatic momentum[6].

For a power-user evaluating this market programmatically, the zero probability reflects the absence of any announced catalysts, such as new ceasefire proposals, joint schedule alignments, or third-party mediation efforts from entities like Turkey or the EU. Traders should monitor official statements from the Kremlin and the White House, particularly following recent reports that Russia is ready for negotiations but a trilateral meeting including Zelensky remains unlikely in the near future[5]. A conditional order strategy would hinge on detecting a sudden shift in these dependencies, yet current data suggests no such shift is imminent, reinforcing the market's settlement to "No meeting by June 30".

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Where will Trump and Putin meet next? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.