Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Dallas Cowboys | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Chicago Bears | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Detroit Lions | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Carolina Panthers | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Market context
The event is which team wins the 2027 NFC Championship Game. At 7% yes, the market is pricing a longshot outcome, which is typical this far ahead of the playoffs when team strength, quarterback health and bracket position are still unresolved. Comparable futures markets on major sportsbooks and prediction venues are usually led by a small group of repeat contenders: current NFL futures pricing has the Rams, Seahawks, Packers, Eagles and 49ers clustered towards the top, with others such as Detroit, Dallas and Chicago further back. For a programmatic approach, that means the cleanest entries are often rules-based rather than discretionary: track open positions against team elimination, then use conditional orders around injury and seeding moves rather than trying to front-run every headline.
The main catalysts are the NFL schedule release, training-camp and preseason quarterback news, and playoff seeding once the regular season starts. A market like this is usually approached through automation that watches official NFL results, injury reports and beat-news filters, then updates probability bands when a contender’s path changes. Recent futures coverage has already pointed to the Rams and Seahawks near the front of NFC pricing, which matters because early conference markets tend to move most when one of the top quarterbacks is confirmed healthy or sidelined. The settlement date also matters operationally: with this market due to end on 25 January 2027, traders need to factor in whether the NFC title game is played, delayed, or produces a formal winner before the expiry window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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