Ethereum price on May 26?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ethereum's spot price at noon ET on 26 May 2026 will determine this market's resolution, with settlement tied to the precise 1-minute candle close on Binance's ETH/USDT pair. The 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme confidence in a specific price range or minimal trading activity; either way, the market requires programmatic precision to execute reliably. Traders building conditional orders or copy-trading bots should note that Binance's candle data updates in real time, making this suitable for automated settlement verification via API queries to the exchange's public endpoints.

Historical Ethereum volatility around major dates shows that single-point-in-time price predictions typically reflect broader market conditions rather than event-specific catalysts. Over the past three years, Ethereum's intraday swings have averaged 2–4% during normal market conditions, though this varies sharply with macro sentiment. A 0% probability reading often indicates either that the market has collapsed due to low liquidity or that traders are pricing in extreme certainty about price direction—neither scenario is typical for a date nearly two years away.

Between now and May 2026, Ethereum's trajectory will depend on Ethereum 2.0 staking adoption rates, regulatory clarity on spot ETH ETFs (already approved in the US as of early 2024), and macroeconomic conditions affecting risk appetite. Traders should monitor scheduled Shanghai and Dencun-equivalent upgrades, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and Bitcoin's correlation patterns, as Ethereum typically moves in tandem with broader crypto sentiment. For bot-based strategies, setting alerts on Binance's API for unusual volume or price action in the weeks preceding settlement will help calibrate position sizing.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.