# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast’s next full-length upload on his main channel will be judged by how many views it racks up in its first seven days. For a power-user, the cleanest way to track it is mechanically: watch for the next public upload on @MrBeast, then pull the weekly view count from the channel’s own counter and map it straight to the market’s brackets. The current 0% YES pricing implies the crowd thinks the visible path to a higher-week bracket is effectively closed, but that can change quickly if the upload is delayed, title/thumbnail strategy shifts, or the video lands as one of his larger-format event pieces rather than a standard release.

The best comparable guide is recent channel performance rather than broad creator averages. MrBeast routinely posts at scale, with recent uploads such as “Survive 30 Days On An Island With Your Ex, Win $250,000” and “I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000” both clearing very large early audiences, which matters because week-1 totals tend to be dominated by initial recommendation velocity and replayable packaging. Third-party trackers like Viewstats also project extremely high channel-level reach, reinforcing that the distribution is still capable of producing outsized first-week numbers. For conditional-order style trading, the practical question is whether the next upload resembles a tentpole challenge or a lighter follow-up.

Catalysts are mostly operational: the next upload date, whether it is a main-channel long-form video, and whether MrBeast holds back or accelerates a release to avoid overlap with other major content. Markets can move on simple upload notifications, thumbnail swaps, or a title change that signals a bigger production. If no video arrives by the market’s long-stop date, the contract resolves to the lowest bracket, so automated monitoring should include both the channel feed and any creator-side schedule hints from X, YouTube community posts, or press around ongoing projects such as Beast Games-related activity. In practice, traders watching this with bots or alerts are mostly keying off the moment the upload goes live, then re-pricing on the first 24-hour and 7-day view trajectory.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.