LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

FlyQuest and Sentinels will contest a lower bracket quarterfinal best-of-five match in the 2026 LCS Playoffs, scheduled for 30 May at 4:00PM ET. The winner advances deeper into the playoffs bracket; the loser is eliminated. This is a single-elimination fixture with no second chances, making roster availability and recent form material inputs for settlement assessment.

The 100% implied probability reflects FlyQuest's superior regular-season standing and historical matchup record against Sentinels. When evaluating this market programmatically, traders should flag that such extreme probabilities often indicate either genuine dominance or illiquidity in the order book rather than genuine certainty. FlyQuest has consistently outperformed Sentinels in head-to-head records across recent LCS seasons, though playoff performance can diverge from regular-season patterns. Comparable lower-bracket fixtures involving heavily favoured teams have occasionally produced upsets when the underdog enters with tactical preparation or the favourite experiences mid-series momentum collapse.

Key catalysts for traders monitoring this match include roster announcements or injury disclosures in the days preceding 30 May, schedule changes that might affect preparation time, and any LCS official communications regarding format or eligibility. The settlement window extends to 31 May at 02:00 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Conditional orders tied to match completion status are worth structuring, given the forfeiture clause: if FlyQuest wins 3–0 or 3–1, settlement is straightforward; if the match is postponed beyond 7 days without resolution, the market defaults to 50-50. Monitoring LCS's official schedule and team announcements through 29 May remains essential for detecting disruptions that would trigger alternative settlement conditions.

Methodology

We track LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.