Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score

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Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup group-stage match between Norway and Senegal, which concluded on 22 June 2026 at MetLife Stadium with Norway winning 3-2. Erling Haaland scored twice for Norway, while Senegal managed two goals in a competitive fixture that saw Norway advance to the round of 32[1][8]. The market in question, which offered an exact score outcome, resolved to "Any Other Score" because the final tally was not one of the explicitly listed options, rendering the current 0% YES probability for any specific exact score a factual reflection of the settled result[2].

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group games often carry low liquidity and high variance, with outcomes like 3-2 frequently falling outside pre-set lists unless specifically included. Comparable cases from the 2022 and 2018 tournaments show that 3-2 results are common in tight group matches but rarely priced as primary exact-score options unless the market is custom-built for high-variance outcomes[1]. This context explains why the crowd-implied probability sits at 0%: the market has already settled, and no exact-score option matches the actual 3-2 result.

Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor settlement confirmations and match-posting dependencies, though no further catalysts exist as the game is complete. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the final score and Haaland’s brace, providing the definitive data point for resolution[1]. Conditional order bots would have triggered on the 3-2 outcome if the market had included it, but since it resolved to "Any Other Score," no exact-score conditional would have executed. The settlement window ending 2026-06-23 is now moot, as the result is final and publicly verified[6][7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.