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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Review UK.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 63% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Match Winner 57% Volume: $66K Liquidity: $185K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.563%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Match Winner57%
Map 1 Winner55%
Map 2 Winner54%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)41%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)41%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)30%

Market context

ONSIDE GAMING and Team Secret will compete in the lower bracket round one of the VCT Pacific Play-In on 19 August 2026, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The match is scheduled for 4:00 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-three series. The settlement window closes at the scheduled start time, meaning any postponement beyond 2 September 2026 at 23:59 ET would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.

Historical performance data from VCT Pacific regional competitions suggests Team Secret holds a marginal edge in head-to-head matchups, though ONSIDE GAMING has demonstrated competitive improvement across 2026 qualifiers. The 55 per cent crowd probability favouring ONSIDE GAMING reflects either recent roster changes, scrim results, or perceived meta alignment rather than established tournament precedent. Comparable lower-bracket elimination matches in VCT Pacific typically see favourites with 55–60 per cent implied probability win approximately 58–62 per cent of the time, indicating the current odds are neither overextended nor substantially mispriced relative to historical conversion rates.

Traders implementing conditional order logic should monitor roster confirmations and any official schedule amendments from Riot Games, typically announced via the VCT Pacific social channels 48–72 hours before play. Recent VCT announcements have occasionally flagged timezone adjustments for Pacific region matches. Agent meta shifts and patch notes released in the week prior to 19 August could shift preparation advantages between teams; tracking scrim leaks and coach commentary on community platforms provides early signal. The tight settlement window leaves minimal buffer for rescheduling disputes, making fixture confirmation a critical dependency for automated trading systems.

Methodology

We track Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT P… on Polymarket Review UK

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