Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Karmine Corp and Eternal Fire are due to meet in an EMEA Stage 2 upper-bracket quarter-final at the Esports World Cup qualifier, a best-of-three with a scheduled settlement deadline later this evening. With the crowd price already at 100% for Karmine Corp, the market is effectively treating this as a near-certain Karmine Corp advance and is likely anchored by the event being listed on major match pages and live-score trackers, including VLR.gg and Liquipedia, rather than by any meaningful two-way disagreement.
For a programmatic trader, the cleanest read is that pricing is less about edge and more about execution risk: whether the match starts on time, whether the official bracket remains unchanged, and whether the result is reported before the 21:10 UTC window closes. Comparable VALORANT qualifier markets tend to stay pinned when one side is already confirmed on the bracket and the opposing team is merely a scheduled participant, but they can still flip to a fallback resolution if the fixture is delayed, removed, or not played within the settlement rules.
The main catalysts are administrative rather than competitive: official bracket updates from the tournament organisers, any schedule moves on Liquipedia or VLR, and live match availability from the broadcast or score pages. EGamersWorld lists Eternal Fire with a 22 May UTC slot against Karmine Corp, while the match pages also point to the same upper-quarter-final pairing, so a trader running alerts or conditional orders would be watching for any late rescheduling, walkover notation, or venue/server issues before the market window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Espor… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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