Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Fnatic and Karmine Corp meet in the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 on 24 May, with the winner advancing toward qualification for the main tournament. The match is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET and will be contested as a best-of-five series, meaning the first team to win three maps claims the fixture. Both organisations field competitive Valorant rosters within the European region, where the qualifier determines seeding and advancement opportunities for the broader Esports World Cup structure.
Historical precedent suggests that 0% crowd probability at settlement window opening typically reflects either missing liquidity or genuine uncertainty about match completion rather than consensus on outcome likelihood. Comparable upper bracket semifinals in regional qualifiers have rarely been cancelled outright; delays beyond the seven-day threshold occur occasionally due to player availability or technical infrastructure issues, but such events remain statistical outliers. The 50-50 tie resolution clause functions as a hedge against administrative disruption rather than a reflection of expected competitive balance.
Traders monitoring this market should track official Esports World Cup communications regarding fixture confirmation, venue logistics, and any roster changes announced by either organisation in the week preceding 24 May. Conditional order logic would sensibly gate entry until closer to match time, when broadcast schedules confirm the fixture is proceeding as scheduled. Streaming availability across official channels (typically via Valorant Champions Tour platforms) will confirm real-time match status; partial completion scenarios triggering the incomplete-match clause remain rare but warrant monitoring through live feeds rather than relying on delayed official announcements.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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