Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 70% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 69% |
| Match Winner | 68% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 59% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 59% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 58% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 39% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 39% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 39% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 39% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 38% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 38% |
| Game Handicap: MYTH (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5) | 30% |
| Game 1 Winner | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
Myth Esports and Dynasty are due to meet in a best-of-three Road Of Legends regular-season match, with the market currently pricing Myth at about 33% to win outright. That level implies the contract is still treating this as a fairly even pairing, but with Dynasty favoured; for programme-style trading, the cleanest read is to map the price against a simple two-team state model rather than assume any large information edge, because the teams have split their head-to-head 3-3 across six recorded meetings.[1]
That historical split matters because it limits how much the current quote can be anchored to past dominance: the matchup has not produced a persistent one-sided pattern, and the most recent listed meeting was on 29 January 2026.[1] For a market bot or conditional-order setup, the useful comparator is not just the win-loss tally but whether roster or patch-specific information has shifted since the last encounter; absent that, a 33% line suggests the market is weighting current form, side selection, or broader team strength more heavily than legacy head-to-head.[1][2]
The main catalysts before settlement are basic event-state checks: confirmation the series starts on schedule, any last-minute lineup or schedule changes, and whether the match is completed rather than interrupted. The market terms also matter operationally, because a cancellation, tie, or a delay beyond seven days forces a 50-50 outcome, while a started but unfinished series can still resolve through forfeit.[3] The listed event time is 23 July 2026 at 18:00 UTC, which should be the anchor for automated monitoring and alerting.[3]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends… on Polymarket Review UK
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