LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

Market context

Movistar KOI, the Spanish League of Legends squad, faces GAM Esports from Vietnam in a Lower Bracket semifinal at the Esports World Cup Group C, scheduled for 9:40 AM ET on 15 July. The match is a best-of-three contest where the winner advances, and current market data shows a 100% implied probability favouring Movistar KOI, reflecting their status as bookmakers’ clear favourite with odds as low as 1.42 and a 60% aggregate win rate compared to GAM’s 50% [4].

Historical precedent in this tournament supports the market’s certainty: in their Group Stage Round 1 encounter earlier in the event, Movistar KOI defeated GAM Esports 1-0 in a 30-minute match, securing a clean ace that clinched the game [3]. Comparable cases from EWC 2025 show European teams like Movistar KOI often dominate regional Asian squads in early knockout stages when roster depth and international form align, as seen in their prior highlight where a clean ace secured victory [1][2].

Traders should monitor live patch notes, roster availability announcements, and any delay notifications before the 9:40 AM ET start, as even minor disruptions could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause if the match exceeds a seven-day delay without resolution. While no recent news source explicitly flags roster changes for either team, the market’s full confidence hinges on the match proceeding as scheduled; any cancellation or incomplete game would reset odds to parity, making real-time schedule feeds the primary catalyst for position management [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.