Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| Match Winner | 0% Fluxo W7M | 100% LOUD |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | 100% LOUD | 0% Fluxo W7M |
Market context
Fluxo W7M face LOUD in a lower bracket quarterfinal of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 10 June at 2:00 PM ET. The winner advances deeper into the regional qualifier pathway; the loser is eliminated from contention for the international tournament slot. Both organisations compete in the Brazilian and broader Latin American League of Legends ecosystem, where roster stability and recent scrim performance typically correlate with match outcomes more reliably than headline-grabbing roster changes alone.
The 0% implied probability reflects either sparse liquidity or a market consensus that LOUD are heavily favoured. Historical precedent in regional LoL qualifiers shows that teams seeded higher or with stronger recent LEC/CBLOL performance records win lower bracket matches at roughly 65–75% rates, though upsets occur when the lower-seeded team has recently acquired a key player or identified a specific draft counter. Traders should monitor whether either squad has announced mid-tournament roster adjustments, coaching staff changes, or publicly disclosed scrim results in the week preceding the match—these catalysts often shift probabilities sharply once confirmed.
For programmatic approaches, conditional orders keyed to match-start confirmation and real-time scoreline data (first game winner, ban-phase patterns) offer entry points if the market remains illiquid. The settlement window closes 11 June at 00:00 UTC; delays beyond 7 days trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for positions held through the scheduled date without a completed result.
Methodology
We track LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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