Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Match Winner | 63% |
| Game 1 Winner | 57% |
| Game 2 Winner | 57% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 56% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 53% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 39% |
| Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) | 34% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 25% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 25% |
Market context
Dplus KIA and KT Rolster meet in a best-of-three LCK Legend Group series, and the market’s 59% YES price sits close to the teams’ longer-run head-to-head edge rather than implying a dominant favourite. Across 29 listed meetings, Dplus KIA have won 17 and KT Rolster 12, with Dplus holding a 40-34 map advantage overall; however, the recent split is tighter, with six meetings over the last 12 months shared 3-3 and KT slightly ahead on maps in that period.[4] Polymarket’s own team pricing has also kept Dplus only modestly favoured at around 62% on the match line, which is broadly consistent with the current crowd view.[6]
For a power-user, this is the sort of market that is best handled with event-driven automation rather than discretionary watching: schedule-confirmation alerts, line-up or pause-state monitoring, and conditional orders keyed to any official delay or format change matter as much as pre-match form. Recent Korean esports coverage has also shown KT in competitive shape, with a win over T1 and Hanwha Life pushing them further into the top-spot race, which supports the idea that this is not a soft spot for Dplus even if historical results lean their way.[16] The main catalysts to watch are the start time, whether the BO3 begins on schedule, and whether any broadcast or league announcement changes the settlement path, because a match not played, tied, or delayed beyond seven days resolves 50-50 under the market rules.[3]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 L… on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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