Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 5? | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Game Handicap: DCG (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
Deep Cross Gaming’s Bo5 against MVK Esports is already priced as near-certain to produce a standard winner, with the market sitting at **100% YES** rather than a lean on either team. That is consistent with the event being listed as live or scheduled for 8 August at 09:00 UTC, and with the historical pattern in this matchup: the teams have split their two prior meetings, while recent pre-match community views have tended to favour Deep Cross Gaming even when the series looks competitive.[1][3][6]
For traders using bots or conditional orders, the main utility is not direction but *event integrity*. A resolution to 50-50 only matters if the series is cancelled, never played, tied, or pushed beyond the seven-day window; if the match starts and finishes with a winner, the market should resolve to that team under the rules. In practice, the highest-value checks are official schedule confirmations, any broadcast or tournament-posted delay notices, and whether the fixture remains on the LCP Round 4 slate at the stated start time; third-party trackers currently still show the match as a best-of-five on 8 August.[1][2][6]
Because this is a programmeable market, a sensible workflow is to watch the fixture status feed and the tournament schedule feed together, then trigger alerts only if the match changes from scheduled to postponed, abandoned, or rescheduled outside the settlement window. That matters more than map score or draft data here, because a completed Bo5 with any winner is straightforward for resolution, whereas an administrative interruption is what creates the main basis risk.[1][3][6]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Gr… on Polymarket Review UK
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