Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION face Xtreme Gaming in a best-of-one Dota 2 fixture within the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 08:40 ET. The 90% implied probability for PARIVISION victory reflects substantial confidence in their performance, though the single-map format introduces volatility absent from longer series. For automated traders, the settlement window closes at 18:40 UTC on the scheduled date, creating a tight window for conditional order execution if delays occur beyond the seven-day threshold triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Historical precedent matters here: PARIVISION's recent tournament placements and head-to-head record against Xtreme Gaming should anchor baseline expectations. Comparable Dota 2 group-stage matchups at similar tier events typically see favourites priced between 65–75% when skill gaps are moderate; 90% suggests either a significant ranking disparity, recent form divergence, or roster advantage. Check recent LiquidPedia updates and BLAST's official schedule for any pre-match roster confirmations or substitutions, as Dota 2 squad changes can shift win probabilities materially within hours of fixture time.
Traders monitoring this market programmatically should flag technical dependencies: stream availability on official channels, tournament admin announcements regarding delays, and any last-minute scheduling shifts. The one-map constraint means individual draft execution and early-game momentum carry outsized weight compared to series play. Watch for PARIVISION lineup confirmations and any public commentary from either organisation regarding preparation or player availability in the 48 hours preceding kickoff.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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