Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO5) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Dota 2 Grand Final between GamerLegion and 4 Anchors and Ilmeria at The International 2026 North America Closed Qualifier, originally set for 26 June at 7:00 PM ET. Historical data confirms GamerLegion won this match decisively with a 3:0 scoreline, as verified by GosuGamers and DLTV, rendering the current 100% YES probability a factual reflection of a completed outcome rather than a speculative forecast[3]. Comparable cases in regional qualifiers show that when a team secures a clean sweep in a Best of 5, market liquidity typically collapses to certainty immediately, mirroring how Kalshi resolved this identical fixture with zero chance for the opponent once the result was verified[1].

A programmatically oriented trader should monitor official tournament announcements for any post-match corrections or schedule dependencies, though the 3:0 result is already archived on Bo3.gg and Strafe, confirming GamerLegion’s dominance and their #15 world ranking[2][10]. Recent news from Strafe highlights GamerLegion’s four wins in their last five matches, providing a robust statistical catalyst that supports the certainty of the outcome without requiring further live data ingestion[10]. For conditional order bots, the settlement window ending 2026-06-27 presents no active risk, as the match is concluded and the resolution is unambiguous, allowing automated systems to execute the "YES" position with zero latency or uncertainty regarding the winner[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.