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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5) 100% Volume: $208K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs ENCE (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs ENCE (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs ENCE (+9.5)1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs ENCE (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs ENCE (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs ENCE (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: sparta vs ence (bo3) - european pro league series 8 group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SPARTA and ENCE in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C, initially scheduled for July 8 at 6:30AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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