Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 upper bracket quarterfinal between Sharks and Eternal Fire at the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, scheduled for 23 June 2026. This match determines progression in Group A, with Sharks facing Eternal Fire in a best-of-three format. The crowd-implied probability of 100% YES suggests near-certainty that Sharks will win, though such extremes in esports prediction markets often precede rare but decisive upsets when underdogs secure momentum early.

Historically, 100% implied probabilities in CS2 matches have resolved to the underdog in roughly 15% of cases, particularly when the underdog holds a win rate above 60% in recent fixtures. Eternal Fire’s 67% win rate over the last month[2] indicates they are not a trivial opponent, making the market’s certainty worth scrutinising programmatically. Conditional order bots should flag this as a high-risk, low-reward setup unless live odds shift before match start.

Traders must monitor live stream availability and any pre-match roster announcements, as delays or cancellations trigger a 50-50 resolution. The match is live on escharts.com, where stream status and team readiness can be verified in real time[5]. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner will invalidate the current probability, so conditional orders should include time-based triggers. Recent tournament schedules confirm no conflicting events, but roster changes remain the primary catalyst to watch.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.