Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

This market tracks the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 between Sashi Esport and AM Gaming, scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026 in the Super DraculaN Group A. The event is a decisive BO3 match where the winner advances, and the current crowd-implied probability sits at 100% YES for Sashi Esport to win.

Historical head-to-head data frames this 100% probability as unusually absolute, given the teams share a 1-win, 1-lose streak in recent CS2 encounters[1]. Comparable cases in lower-bracket semis often show volatility when teams have balanced records, yet Sashi’s in-game leadership under Cabbi and their £158,047 total winnings suggest a structural edge that may justify the market’s certainty[6]. Programmatic traders should note that conditional orders based on this probability would require strict stop-losses, as a single upset would invalidate the 100% assumption instantly.

Key catalysts include live team announcements confirming roster availability and any schedule shifts for the BC Game Masters Series 1, where AM Gaming recently faced Cybershoke in a tight 2-1 loss[2]. Traders must monitor Robinhood’s real-time pricing, which currently shows AM Gaming at 60¢ and Sashi at 42¢, indicating a divergence from the 100% YES crowd view[3]. A sudden drop in Sashi’s price or a roster change announcement would be the primary signal to adjust conditional orders, as these dependencies directly impact the match outcome resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.