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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5) 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Winner 0% Volume: $114K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

QUAZAR and NEW VISION are due to meet in a best-of-three at the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In, with the market settling on the actual match winner if the series is played to completion. A 0% YES price implies the market currently sees essentially no path to a QUAZAR win, so a programmatic trader would treat this as an ultra-low-probability tail and first verify whether the event is live, postponed, or already decided through official bracket updates before placing any conditional order.

The closest comparable signal in the public record is the market-facing event listing, which shows QUAZAR heavily favoured at 97.7% of votes versus 2.3% for NEW VISION, while the surrounding tournament page places the Play-In on 21–23 July 2026 rather than the later slot in the market description.[1][3] That mismatch matters for automation: if a feed scraper, bot, or copy-trading rule keys off stale schedule data, it can misprice settlement risk around whether the match was actually played, moved, or voided under the market’s 7-day delay clause.

From a trading perspective, the catalysts to watch are bracket revisions, start-time changes, and any official result post from the tournament operator or scoreboard provider, because NEW VISION already has a recorded 2–0 win elsewhere in the same CCT Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier cycle, showing they are capable of taking a series in this event set.[2] For hands-on execution, the practical check is simple: confirm the live fixture status, watch for map veto and server lock-in, and only then decide whether the 0% line is a genuine informational edge or just a stale market awaiting resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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