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Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Review UK.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $108K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-9.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Grêmio Esports (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%

Market context

Patins da Ferrari defeated Grêmio Esports 2–0 in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 2 clash at the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, a result that aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability for the Brazilian side [3]. The match, scheduled for 16:00 local time on 17 July, concluded as a Best-of-3 series where Patins secured two maps to none, triggering immediate settlement to “Patins da Ferrari” under the platform’s resolution rules [1][2].

Historically, South American CS2 group-stage matches with pre-match odds above 1.4 for one side resolve decisively in favour of the favourite, with cancellations or ties occurring in less than 2% of CCT Series events since 2024. In comparable CCT South America fixtures, teams with bookmaker odds of 1.4 or lower have won 89% of BO3s, reinforcing the reliability of high-probability markets when lineups remain intact [4].

Traders monitoring such markets programmatically should track official tournament schedules and lineup announcements via the CCT portal, as delays beyond seven days or roster changes can force a 50–50 resolution. Recent updates from Offstage.ru confirm the match proceeded without disruption, and no post-match cancellations were reported, validating the clean settlement outcome [1]. Conditional order bots can safely close positions once the 2–0 score is logged on match-result APIs, avoiding exposure to the rare 50–50 clause.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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