Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RF (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Procyon Gaming faces Red Feet in the opening Round 1 of the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match scheduled for 9:00 AM ET on 15 July. The crowd-implied probability of Procyon winning sits at 0% YES, a stark divergence from community voting platforms where 94.5% of participants back Procyon to secure the victory [3]. Traditional bookmakers list Procyon as the slight favourite at 1.75 odds, suggesting the 0% market price reflects a specific technical failure rather than a genuine expectation of a Red Feet win [1].
Historically, such extreme probability dislocations in esports prediction markets signal a settlement risk or a data ingestion error rather than a true assessment of team capability. When a market resolves to a 50-50 split due to cancellation or delay beyond seven days, the initial price often collapses to zero if the platform flags the event as unplayable before the settlement window closes. Programmatic traders would treat this as a high-risk arbitrage opportunity, checking if the match has been officially postponed or if the API feed has failed to register the scheduled start time, as similar discrepancies in previous CCT events resolved once the fixture was confirmed live [2].
Key catalysts include the official match status on the CCT dashboard and any delay announcements from the tournament organiser, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Traders monitoring this via conditional orders must verify the match start time against the 15 July schedule, as a failure to commence by the deadline invalidates the win condition for either side [4]. Recent updates to the CCT South America Series 4 group stage confirm the fixture is active, meaning the 0% price likely stems from a temporary liquidity gap or a bot error rather than a cancellation [2].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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