Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-6.5) vs Keyd (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: GH (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Game Hunters (-9.5) vs Keyd (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-6.5) vs Game Hunters (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-9.5) vs Game Hunters (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-12.5) vs Game Hunters (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-9.5) vs Game Hunters (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Keyd Stars face Game Hunters in a Counter-Strike Round of 16 match at the CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs, scheduled for 6:00PM ET on 6 July 2026. This is a BO3 contest where the winner takes the match, and the market resolves to Keyd if they win, Game Hunters if they win, or 50-50 in cases of cancellation, tie, or excessive delay.
Historically, South American CS2 tournaments like CCT Series 1 and Series 6 have seen lower-tier teams occasionally upset favourites, yet crowd-implied probabilities near 0% for Keyd suggest either a severe roster issue or a mispriced market[3][6]. In comparable BO3 events from the 2025 CCT South American Series #1, Game Hunters demonstrated inconsistent form against top-eight qualifiers, yet never faced a 0% crowd sentiment unless a match was abandoned pre-start[4]. Programmatically, traders would flag such a probability as a potential conditional order trigger, testing whether the zero reflects a technical cancellation or a genuine roster collapse.
Traders must monitor official CCT announcements for roster changes, match postponements, or server dependencies that could delay resolution beyond the seven-day window[1]. Recent live streams from the CCT 2026 South America Series #3 confirm both teams are active, but no official roster update has been issued since the match was initially scheduled[2]. A trader building a bot would set alerts for Liquipedia or Esports Charts updates, as any delay past 7 days from 6 July automatically shifts the market to 50-50, creating a high-value arbitrage opportunity if the crowd remains static[3].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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