Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5) | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-12.5) vs Subtop De France (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Inner Circle Academy have already secured a 2–0 victory over Subtop De France in their CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B match, confirming the outcome before the settlement window closes on 15 July 2026. The contest, initially scheduled for 1:00PM ET on the same day, concluded decisively with no indication of cancellation or delay, rendering the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for Inner Circle Academy a factual certainty rather than a speculative bet.
Historically, prediction markets on completed esports matches with unambiguous results resolve instantly once official scoreboards confirm the winner, as seen in prior CCT qualifiers where 2–0 finishes triggered immediate settlement without dispute. In cases where matches are delayed beyond seven days or end in ties, platforms default to a 50–50 resolution, but such contingencies are irrelevant here given the match’s full completion and clear 2–0 scoreline [1].
Traders monitoring this market should verify the official result on the tournament’s match page and confirm no post-match appeals or disqualifications have been filed, though such events are rare in closed qualifiers. With the match already concluded and the result publicly recorded, the primary catalyst is the platform’s automated settlement trigger, which typically activates within minutes of scoreboard confirmation. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain, as the event has passed its resolution threshold.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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