Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons and Legacy will contest the CS Asia Championships Playoffs grand final in a best-of-five match scheduled for 24 May 2026 at 02:00 ET. The fixture represents the culmination of Asia's premier Counter-Strike competition, with both organisations competing for the regional title and associated prize pool. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on the scheduled date, creating a tight operational window for match completion and result confirmation.

The 76% implied probability favouring Team Falcons reflects their recent trajectory within Asian Counter-Strike. Historical precedent from comparable regional finals—including previous CS Asia Championships outcomes—suggests that favourites in grand finals typically carry 65–75% implied probabilities when they've demonstrated consistent map pool strength and roster stability through the tournament bracket. Team Falcons' path to the final, alongside Legacy's qualification route, will have shaped this probability distribution. Traders evaluating conditional orders should note that roster changes or last-minute stand-in announcements in the 48 hours preceding the match have historically shifted probabilities by 8–12 percentage points in regional esports finals.

Critical monitoring points include official tournament schedule confirmations from the CS Asia Championships organisers, any player availability announcements, and technical infrastructure readiness at the venue. The settlement mechanism includes a 50-50 resolution if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion, creating a hard deadline that automated monitoring systems should flag. For programmatic traders, setting alerts on the tournament's official channels and cross-referencing with team social media accounts will capture disruption signals earlier than general market movement.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.