Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) | 56% |
| Map 1 Winner | 51% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) | 51% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 45% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5) | 41% |
| Match Winner | 28% |
| Map 2 Winner | 25% |
Market context
EYEBALLERS face FaZe in a best-of-three in the BLAST Bounty qualifier, with the market effectively asking whether the underdog can turn a short series into an upset. A 35% crowd-implied price on EYEBALLERS is consistent with a live underdog position rather than a coin flip, especially in BO3 where veto quality and one strong map can materially swing the outcome.
For historical framing, the cleanest comparable reference is the teams’ previous BLAST Bounty meeting, which ended EYEBALLERS 2-1 over FaZe, showing that this pairing has already produced a competitive three-map result rather than a routine favourite win.[1] Market tools that model match state programmatically should treat that as a signal for non-zero upset frequency, but not as a standalone predictor: the same matchup can reprice sharply if line-up news, map pool changes, or veto information shifts the expected map edge. Comparable market pages are also flagging EYEBALLERS as capable of taking at least one map, which aligns with a higher-than-trivial chance of a full-match upset.[2]
The practical catalysts to watch are whether the match actually starts on schedule, whether the bracket remains unchanged, and whether either side fields a late roster alteration or forfeit risk. The market description makes settlement sensitive to cancellation, delay beyond seven days, or an unfinished series that produces no winner, so automation should monitor official BLAST scheduling and result feeds rather than relying only on pre-match odds.[1] If the series goes live, the most important dependency for a conditional-order style approach is map one: a strong veto for EYEBALLERS increases the chance that the 35% price understates their true live win probability, while a one-sided opening map would usually justify a fast repricing toward FaZe.[2][4]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bou… on Polymarket Review UK
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