Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bounty Hunters Esports (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Bounty Hunters Esports face MIBR Academy in a Round of 16 Best-of-3 at the CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs, a match originally scheduled for 7 July at 22:00 UTC. The crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests the market has effectively priced in a cancellation or a default outcome rather than a competitive contest, likely due to the match date having already passed without a confirmed result.
Historically, South American B-Tier CS2 events like the CCT series frequently experience scheduling drift or team withdrawals when academy squads are involved, often leading to markets resolving at the 50-50 default if no winner is determined within seven days. Comparable cases from Series 1 and Series 2 show that when matches are delayed beyond the settlement window without a replay, prediction markets default to the tie resolution clause, rendering pre-match win probabilities irrelevant once the deadline passes.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements on Liquipedia and the CCT South America tournament page for any post-match resolution updates or cancellation notices, as these are the primary catalysts for market settlement. Recent coverage of MIBR Academy’s performance in Series 2 highlights their inconsistent form against established teams, but the immediate dependency is the match status itself; if no result is logged by the settlement window ending 8 July 2026, the market will resolve to 50-50 regardless of historical team strength.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Acade… on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →