Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 Games | 73% |
| Map 4 Winner | 52% |
| Map 1 Winner | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% |
| Map 3 Winner | 50% |
| Match Winner | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 50% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 35% |
| Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | 33% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 33% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 33% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 31% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 30% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | 30% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 19% |
| Map Handicap: 9z (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5) | 13% |
Market context
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 73%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between 9z and PARIVISION in the XSE Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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